New research has warned that Labour is to blame for wasting red-walled seats in the 2019 election: Conservatives are “borrowing” votes from other parties.
Research through Jo Michell and Rob Calvert Jump published on Open Democracy shows that the decline in the north, Midlands and Wales may not have been the result of a dramatic drop in the percentage of votes, but of adjustments in the distribution of votes. between parties and constituencies.
In fact, of the 50 seats lost in 2019, the total number of votes cast by Labour increased to nearly 30,000, so the Labour Party’s vote share was 39%, with no replacement since 2010.
The report notes that Labour has not lost the red wall because others have left the party.
Instead, conservatives made significant gains in those districts at the expense of Liberal Democrats, expanding their vote from about 670,000 votes in 2010 to more than a million in 2019, with liberal resignation losses of about 300,000 votes during the same period.
“The decline of paintings in the north, The Midlands and Wales is the result of a dramatic drop in their vote percentage, but adjustments in the distribution of votes between parties and constituencies.” Interesting research here from @JoMicheII and Rob Calvert Jump: https://t.co/zpbPuplVCX pic.twitter.com/JtPRh06ktY
Last month, the Guardian was heavily criticized for an article suggesting that there is still a strong anti-Corbyn view on the ‘red wall’.
Based on comments from Twentyman’s Pizza owner Andrew Twentyman, who credited Rishi Sunak’s Eat Out to Help Out program, he postulated that things may have been very different under the former Labour leader.
However, comments that the program is one of the top socialist policies deployed in decades would possibly have been made.
As we wrote at the time, “Sunak is acting like a socialist in a conservative attire; it is absurd to recommend that the Labour Party had taken another approach.”
Related: Corbyn calls the government’s initial immunity absurd
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