GM beats Wall Street estimates, expects earnings to hold up in 2024

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DETROIT (AP) — General Motors beat Wall Street’s expectations for fourth-quarter profit and net income, though it forecast another strong year despite potential headwinds for the economy and sales.

The Detroit automaker’s 2024 guidance calls for net income attributable to stockholders of $9.8 billion to $11.2 billion, or $8.50 to $9.50 earnings per share; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of $12 billion to $14 billion, or $8.50 to $9.50 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow between $8 billion and $10 billion.

Earnings forecasts are particularly larger than GM’s 2023 effects and in line with or higher than many Wall Street analysts’ expectations of flat effects through 2023.

GM shares rose more than 8% early Tuesday.

Here’s the company’s performance in the fourth quarter, based on average estimates compiled through LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:

For the fourth quarter, GM reported a net source of income to shareholders of $2. 1 billion, or $1. 59 per share, compared to $2 billion, or $1. 39 per share, a year earlier. On a one-time basis, GM earned $1. 24 per share. with participation, beating Wall Street’s expectations.

Revenue was largely flat year-over-year at $42. 98 billion, compared to $43. 11 billion in the last three months of 2022.

GM’s full-year 2023 revenue was about up 10% compared with the prior year, at $171.84 billion, with net income attributable to stockholders of $10.13 billion and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $12.36 billion. That compares with 2022 revenue of $156.74 billion, net income attributable to stockholders of $9.93 billion and adjusted EBIT of $14.47 billion.

“Going into 2024, I think GM is well-positioned for a year of strong monetary performance,” GM Chief Financial Officer Paul Jacobson told reporters on a call to discuss the results.

GM’s 2023 earnings included several special charges, totaling $1. 1 billion in North American strike prices and $792 million for new advertising deals between GM and LG Electronics and LG Energy Solution.

GM’s shares are down less than 2 percent this year after rising about 7 percent last year, thanks to an accelerated $10 billion percentage buyback program announced in late November.

GM’s North American adjusted profit fell 45% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier to $2. 01 billion. Its operations decreased 1. 1% to $269 million.

China – GM’s second-largest market – continued to struggle, with a 34% decline in equity income for the year to $446 million, including a 54% drop during the fourth quarter.

Jacobson said GM expects its operations in China this year to be more or less stable compared to last year, adding to an expected loss in the first quarter.

“The team is doing a good job of managing through a challenging situation but we’re going to have a tough first quarter,” he said.

For the year, GM’s North American operations fell 5. 3 percent to $12. 31 billion, while overseas operations rose 5. 9 percent to $1. 21 billion.

GM expects to spend roughly $1 billion less this year on its majority-owned autonomous vehicle subsidiary Cruise. In 2023 it spent $2.7 billion on the embattled business unit, excluding special items such as severance packages for layoffs.

Cruise is the subject of several state and federal investigations following an Oct. 2 crash involving a pedestrian in San Francisco.

GM CEO Mary Barra, who chairs Cruise’s board, said officials have “already begun to implement significant changes” at Cruise following the findings of internal, third-party probes into the incident and operations.

Cruise and GM last week released the effects of internal investigations that highlighted cultural problems, regulatory incompetence and poor leadership within the company, but found that officials had deliberately misled or misled regulators.

The corporations also revealed that Cruise is still being investigated through various entities, including the U. S. Department of Justice and the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

“At Cruise, we are committed to regaining buy-in from regulators and the public through our commitments and actions,” Barra said in a letter to shareholders on Tuesday.

Barra and Jacobson said the adoption of electric vehicles in the U. S. is a major factor in the development of electric vehicles. The U. S. economy has been slower than expected, but they said the company remains committed to expanding its EV lineup and sales in 2024.

“The consensus is developing that the U. S. economy, the hard work market and auto sales will remain resilient, and at GM we expect healthy sales of about 16 million units in the industry, with an EV harvester continuing to grow,” Barra said. .

Last year, the automaker withdrew its near-term sales forecast for EVs, but stuck to its plans to increase 1 million units of EV production capacity in North America and a mid-digit EV EBIT margin, in both cases through 2025.

GM’s electric vehicle sales totaled 75,883 units, or 2. 9 percent of the company’s total sales, last year. The vast majority of those sales were of Chevrolet Bolt models, which have now been discontinued.

The company has faced an increase in production of its new “Ultium” electric vehicles, adding a major challenge to battery module assembly.

GM said it plans to keep its North American plants “flexible” to produce electric cars and classic cars with internal combustion engines, depending on customer demand.

— CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

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